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AUDUSD and NZDUSD Bear Pressures Intact

Technical Analysis

The November plunge lower for both the Australian and New Zealand Dollars versus the US currency have reinforced negative themes, within broader range settings.

Furthermore, the with key AUDUSD and NZDUSD supports breached, we see risk for a still more bearish tone through mid-month.

AUDUSD

A rebound Wednesday to just prod at .7069/74, but another setback (after the lacklustre rebounds this week), to maintain the bearish tone into Thursday from the Friday push below .7064/63 support.

This maintains the broader range theme into mid-November, but with bias to the lower end of the range to threaten a bear shift below .6936.

For Thursday:

  • We see a downside bias for .7000/6995; break here aims for key .6936.
  • But above .7078 opens risk up to .7148, maybe .7170.

Short/ Intermediate-term Range Parameters: We see the broader range defined by .6936 and .7382.

Downside Range Breakout Challenge: Below .6936 sees risk lower for 6894, .6857 and .6645.

Daily AUDUSD Chart

AUDUSD

4 hour AUDUSD Chart

4 HOUR AUDUSD

NZDUSD

A better bounce (above .6575), but then a failure Wednesday from ahead of better barriers at .6625/42 and the Friday plunge through support leaves a bearish bias for Thursday.

Friday losses reinforced the early November push through .6615 that completed a top, for a shift to a broader range theme.

For Thursday: 

  • We see a downside bias for .6500/6490; break here aims for key .6473, maybe .6434.
  • But above .6587 opens risk up to .6625/42.

Short/ Intermediate-term Range Parameters: We see the range defined by .6897 and .6232.

Downside Range Breakout Challenge: Below .6232 sees risk lower for .6154 and .6000.

Daily NZDUSD Chart

NZDUSD

Risk Statement: Trading Foreign Exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial deposit. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you.


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