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Weekly Forex Market Forecasts for February 20th – February 24th

The following table lists the key economic data and other events that are due out during the week of February 20th – February 24th, with release times displayed for the GMT time zone.

The list also includes the current market consensus forecast for each event and indicates what sort of deviation might affect the forex market valuation of the indicated currency positively.

Read more current forex news

Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors This Week

Sunday, February 19th

9:45pm NZD PPI Input (0.9% expected, > good for currency)

Monday, February 20th

All Day EUR ECOFIN Meetings (hawkish = good for currency)

All Day USD Bank Holiday

1:30pm CAD Wholesale Sales (0.4% expected, > good for currency)

Tuesday, February 21st

12:30am AUD Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (hawkish = good for currency)

8:00am EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI (53.5 expected, > good for currency)

8:00am EUR French Flash Services PMI (53.8 expected, > good for currency)

8:30am EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI (56.2 expected, > good for currency)

8:30am EUR German Flash Services PMI (53.6 expected, > good for currency)

9:00am EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI (55.0 expected, > good for currency)

9:00am EUR Flash Services PMI (53.7 expected, > good for currency)

9:30am GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (-14.4B expected, < good for currency)

1:50pm USD FOMC Member Kashkari speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

Tentative NZD GDT Price Index (last 1.3%, > good for currency)

5:00pm USD FOMC Member Harker speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

9:30pm AUD RBA Governor Lowe speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

Wednesday, February 22nd

12:30am AUD Construction Work Done (0.5% expected, > good for currency)

12:30am AUD Wage Price Index (0.5% expected, > good for currency)

9:00am EUR German Ifo Business Climate (109.6 expected, > good for currency)

9:30am GBP Second Estimate GDP (0.6% expected, > good for currency)

9:30am GBP Preliminary Business Investment (0.0% expected, > good for currency)

10:30am EUR Long Term Refinancing Operation (last 62.2B, > good for currency)

11:00am GBP MPC Member Cunliffe speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

1:30pm CAD Core Retail Sales (0.8% expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm CAD Retail Sales (0.1% expected, > good for currency)

3:00pm USD Existing Home Sales (5.55M expected, > good for currency)

6:00pm USD FOMC Member Powell speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

7:00pm USD FOMC Meeting Minutes (hawkish = good for currency)

8:00pm GBP MPC Member Shafik speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

Thursday, February 23rd

12:30am AUD Private Capital Expenditure (-0.4% expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm USD Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (242K expected, < good for currency)

4:00pm USD Crude Oil Inventories (last 9.5M, > good for currency)

10:30pm AUD             RBA Governor Lowe speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

Friday, February 24th

1:30pm CAD CPI (0.3% expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm CAD Trimmed Core CPI (last 1.6%, > good for currency)

3:00pm USD New Home Sales (575K expected, > good for currency)

3:00pm USD Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (96.1 expected, > good for currency)                                                                       

Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors This Week

EURUSD: Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 1.0616/20, 1.0640, 1.0652/57, 1.0669, 1.0678/89, 1.0707/08, 1.0718, 1.0736, 1.0762/95, 1.0804/11, 1.0818/33, 1.0847/58, 1.0866, 1.0872/73, 1.0882/86, 1.0896, 1.0911/17, 1.0951/70, 1.0983/86, 1.0991/98, 1.1001/10, 1.1015/28, 1.1038/60, 1.1066/72, 1.1083, 1.1091/97, 1.1103/04, 1.1111/59, 1.1164/81, 1.1186/1.1204, 1.1211/21, 1.1233/36, 1.1244/83, 1.1294/1.1303, 1.1317/18, 1.1322/48, 1.1354/66, 1.1373/97, 1.1415/64, 1.1483, 1.1494/98, 1.1533, 1.1615, 1.1642, 1.1713, 1.1753, 1.1866/77, 1.1900/01, 1.1938, 1.1975, 1.2041, 1.2133, 1.2143, 1.2162/64, 1.2219, 1.2241/55, 1.2270/72, 1.2323/33, 1.2357/62, 1.2381/94, 1.2407/39, 1.2455, 1.2494/96, 1.2500/01, 1.2514/19, 1.2531, 1.2545, 1.2569/70, 1.2588/89, 1.2605, 1.2613, 1.2623/25, 1.2661/63, 1.2676, 1.2692/98, 1.2715, 1.2744/54, 1.2791/1.2805, 1.2815/21, 1.2834/79, 1.2900/04, 1.2919/21 and 1.2978/98.

Above: 1.3000/03, 1.3047, 1.3059/66, 1.3077, 1.3093/1.3109, 1.3126/30, 1.3152/65, 1.3172/77, 1.3187/1.3206, 1.3220/42, 1.3294/99, 1.3305/08, 1.3318/24, 1.3332/35, 1.3344/53, 1.3366, 1.3376/89, 1.3398/1.3416, 1.3432/44, 1.3451, 1.3473/82, 1.3489/1.3524, 1.3538, 1.3546/88, 1.3597, 1.3602/15, 1.3621/31, 1.3639/50, 1.3663/76, 1.3682/86, 1.3685/1.3710, 1.3714/16, 1.3731/39, 1.3748, 1.3758/74, 1.3784/98, 1.3807, 1.3810/20, 1.3824, 1.3832/36, 1.3845/54, 1.3864, 1.3875/78, 1.3888/92, 1.3905/14, 1.3937, 1.3947, 1.3966/69, 1.3993/1.4000, 1.4246, 1.4500/17, 1.4695 and 1.4939.

Support:                                 

Initial: 1.0606, 1.0591/95, 1.0588, 1.0578, 1.0565/68, 1.0551, 1.0517/24, 1.0504, 1.0498/99, 1.0461, 1.0371, 1.3065, 1.0351, 1.0339, 1.0206 and 1.0104.

Below: 0.9607/21, 0.9599, 0.9451, 0.9338, 0.8840, 0.8822/28, 0.8594 and 0.8562.

USDJPY: Lower

Resistance:

Initial: 113.12, 113.38, 113.49, 113.79, 113.89, 113.98, 114.12, 114.55/65, 114.73/95, 115.06, 115.37, 115.56/61, 115.85, 115.92, 116.03/14, 116.28, 116.50/54, 116.82/117.02, 117.23, 117.43, 117.52, 117.65/80, 117.93/99, 118.04/05, 118.23/45, 118.60/67, 118.85/97, 119.01/06, 119.21/28, 119.37/46, 119.61/65, 119.80 and 119.95.

Above: 120.00/10, 120.17/27, 120.34/47, 120.56, 120.62/65, 120.73/82, 121.02, 121.19/23, 121.27/38, 121.48/49, 121.62/68, 121.80/84, 121.96, 122.01, 122.22/30, 122.44, 122.60/68, 122.87, 123.12, 123.25, 123.42/49, 123.71/78, 123.95, 124.05, 124.11/14, 124.22, 124.35/38, 124.43/46, 125.06, 125.27, 125.40, 125.67/75, 126.17, 126.41, 126.90 and 135.19.

Support:

Initial: 113.04, 112.98, 112.86, 112.51/61, 112.30, 112.15, 112.01/07, 111.78/88, 111.59/66, 111.35/44, 110.97/111.03, 110.66, 110.58, 110.39/47, 110.26, 110.08, 109.89/90, 109.72, 109.53/54, 109.41/45, 109.10, 108.98, 108.71, 108.54, 108.42/46, 108.22/24, 108.00, 107.83/89, 107.62/66, 107.48, 107.38/39, 107.18, 107.05, 106.94, 106.72/82, 106.54, 106.31/36, 106.15/25, 105.70, 105.52/59, 105.41/43, 105.30/33, 105.18, 105.05, 104.83/91, 104.63/68, 104.47, 104.31/36, 104.07/26, 103.91/98, 103.82, 103.73/75, 103.54/58, 103.37/43, 103.30, 103.16, 102.92/103.08, 102.49/85, 102.33/40, 102.24/26, 102.13/14, 101.90/102.04, 101.60/83, 101.50/56, 101.41/45, 101.30/32, 101.08/27, 100.82/92, 100.75, 100.60/67, 100.38/48, 100.19/22, 99.93/100.09, 99.64/66, 99.53, 99.40, 99.25, 99.13/14, 98.84/99.00, 98.63/72, 98.48/53, 98.28, 98.20, 98.08, 97.75/83, 97.49/63, 96.90/97.05, 96.81, 96.65/70, 96.55/56 and 96.05.

Below: 95.79/80, 95.44, 94.90/95.07, 94.87, 94.55, 94.19, 94.05, 93.76, 93.78 93.68, 93.50, 93.17, 92.77/95, 92.14/30, 91.19, 90.85, 90.20/32, 89.40/66, 88.05, 87.95/99 and 87.79.

GBPUSD: Mildly Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 1.2431/39, 1.2451, 1.2476, 1.2511/15, 1.2522/30, 1.2547/56, 1.2581, 1.2672/73, 1.2705, 1.2727/36, 1.2774, 1.2794, 1.2849, 1.2863/79, 1.2902, 1.2914, 1.2944/45, 1.2955, 1.2991/96, 1.3020, 1.3033, 1.3056/63, 1.3078/79, 1.3093, 1.3104, 1.3119/20, 1.3137, 1.3204, 1.3227, 1.3238, 1.3272/89, 1.3300, 1.3314, 1.3339/46, 1.3352, 1.3371, 1.3415, 1.3444, 1.3477/80, 1.3501, 1.3532, 1.3561, 1.3653, 1.3683, 1.3835/40, 1.3853, 1.3877, 1.4000/11, 1.4041, 1.4052/56, 1.4079, 1.4089, 1.4108, 1.4130, 1.4148, 1.4170/79, 1.4232/34, 1.4247/51, 1.4298, 1.4321/25, 1.4331, 1.4345/51, 1.4361, 1.4374, 1.4385, 1.4396, 1.4406/18, 1.4432/44, 1.4451/72, 1.4513, 1.4529/34, 1.4546, 1.4581, 1.4603, 1.4615, 1.4634/37, 1.4659/69, 1.4692/98, 1.4725/38, 1.4768, 1.4785, 1.4812, 1.4830, 1.4856, 1.4868, 1.4872, 1.4884, 1.4913, 1.4927, 1.4943/50, 1.4966/67, 1.4985/88, 1.5007, 1.5013/17, 1.5026/33, 1.5053/56, 1.5072/77, 1.5081, 1.5092, 1.5101/06, 1.5123, 1.5130/36, 1.5152/64, 1.5173/80, 1.5185/87, 1.5195/99, 1.5208/23, 1.5236/41, 1.5260/68, 1.5276, 1.5293, 1.5304/05, 1.5313/51, 1.5382/84, 1.5392, 1.5403/40, 1.5457/58, 1.5467, 1.5476/85, 1.5496/99, 1.5505/08, 1.5514/20, 1.5529/33, 1.5538/51, 1.5561/68, 1.5584/96, 1.5601/19, 1.5624/27, 1.5646, 1.5656/58, 1.5669/74, 1.5683/92, 1.5714/17, 1.5725, 1.5750, 1.5763, 1.5775/89, 1.5803/07, 1.5817, 1.5825, 1.5844, 1.5853, 1.5874/77, 1.5886/93, 1.5900/27, 1.5948/61, 1.5975/94, 1.6001/08, 1.6051/66, 1.6071/83, 1.6096/98, 1.6109/21, 1.6130/36, 1.6155, 1.6161, 1.6177/83, 1.6195/98, 1.6204/16, 1.6222/26, 1.6237/46, 1.6251/62, 1.6280/90, 1.6298/1.6309, 1.6336, 1.6348, 1.6357, 1.6376, 1.6380/83, 1.6394, 1.6400, 1.6415/18, 1.6441/44, 1.6458/65, 1.6484, and 1.6496.

Above: 1.6516, 1.6524, 1.6534, 1.6548, 1.6576/86, 1.6592, 1.6611/17, 1.6624, 1.6640/56, 1.6665/67, 1.6683, 1.6692/98, 1.6716/24, 1.6730/37, 1.6745, 1.6755, 1.6765/68, 1.6777, 1.6785, 1.6800/02, 1.6812, 1.6819/22, 1.6831/44, 1.6874/87, 1.6902/09, 1.6919/20, 1.6951, 1.6960, 1.6995, 1.7000, 1.7010, 1.7035, 1.7042/51, 1.7058/62, 1.7084, 1.7094/99, 1.7107, 1.7130, 1.7167, 1.7176/78, 1.7190 and 1.7440.

Support:

Initial: 1.2411/16, 1.2382/87, 1.2375, 1.2351, 1.2332, 1.2317/24, 1.2301, 1.2271, 1.2260, 1.2252, 1.2226/28, 1.2199/1.2200, 1.2170, 1.2131/35, 1.2113, 1.2081/88, 1.1991, 1.1954 and 1.1844.

Below: 1.0520.

AUDUSD: Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 0.7681/96, 0.7700/10, 0.7718/25, 0.7731/40, 0.7748/64, 0.7772/84, 0.7791/92, 0.7817, 0.7825, 0.7834/88, 0.7912, 0.7919, 0.7950, 0.7988, 0.8008, 0.8020, 0.8024/34, 0.8051, 0.8066/87, 0.8106, 0.8121, 0.8138, 0.8156, 0.8172, 0.8203/14, 0.8223, 0.8233, 0.8294, 0.8307, 0.8375, 0.8416, 0.8473/84, 0.8512, 0.8541, 0.8578, 0.8590, 0.8641, 0.8651/62, 0.8693, 0.8702, 0.8729, 0.8747/54, 0.8760/73, 0.8784, 0.8812, 0.8819/25, 0.8842/52, 0.8857/61, 0.8869, 0.8887/97, 0.8906/12, 0.8918/20, 0.8923/36, 0.8951/57, 0.8967/69, 0.8981/87, 0.8994/0.9010, 0.9035, 0.9041, 0.9042/48, 0.9054/57, 0.9061/66, 0.9072/79, 0.9102, 0.9110/19, 0.9127/37, 0.9147, 0.9162/67, 0.9179/89, 0.9200/08, 0.9214/26, 0.9232/74, 0.9286/94, 0.9304, 0.9311, 0.9328/34, 0.9343/53, 0.9359, 0.9386/0.9410, 0.9420/24, 0.9428/33, 0.9440/47, 0.9455/57, 0.9469 and 0.9483/86.

Above: 0.9500, 0.9524/27, 0.9536/42, 0.9571, 0.9585, 0.9592, 0.9620, 0.9640, 0.9664, 0.9676, 0.9689/96, 0.9710, 0.9732, 0.9757, 0.9791/94, 0.9841/96, 0.9900, 0.9925/83, 1.0000/18, 1.0052, 1.0099/1.0100, 1.0114/17, 1.0148/51, 1.0165/77 and 1.0181/82.

Support:

Initial: 0.7653/63, 0.7642/48, 0.7625/36, 0.7614/18, 0.7605/09, 0.7580/98, 0.7565/72, 0.7544/59, 0.7532, 0.7520/25, 0.7497/0.7514, 0.7486/92, 0.7468/76, 0.7452, 0.7440/46, 0.7413/20, 0.7405/07, 0.7393, 0.7362/79, 0.7356, 0.7337/43, 0.7310/26, 0.7295/0.7303, 0.7278/84, 0.7265/71, 0.7241/58, 0.7234, 0.7219/26, 0.7214/15, 0.7203/07, 0.7197, 0.7181/85, 0.7172/75, 0.7152/62, 0.7140/48, 0.7108, 0.7098, 0.7083, 0.7062/69, 0.7047, 0.7030/34, 0.7021/24, 0.7001/02, 0.6945, 0.6936/37, 0.6918, 0.6907, 0.6852, 0.6826, 0.6773, 0.6753, 0.6697, 0.6670 and 0.6555.

Below: 0.6339/41, 0.6317, 0.5804, 0.5795, 0.5730, 0.5645, 0.5490, 0.5399, 0.5228, 0.4815 and 0.4773.

USDCAD: Mildly Lower

Resistance:

Initial: 1.3097/99, 1.3101, 1.3115/19, 1.3125/39, 1.3143/47, 1.3161/68, 1.3174/90, 1.3194/99, 1.3211/17, 1.3233/35, 1.3241/53, 1.3260/64, 1.3270/83, 1.3295, 1.3305/16, 1.3323/25, 1.3352/57, 1.3367/77, 1.3385/99, 1.3404, 1.3415/16, 1.3432/34, 1.3456/72, 1.3504, 1.3524, 1.3534/36, 1.3556/63, 1.3586/88, 1.3597/1.3606, 1.3638, 1.3652/61, 1.3672, 1.3687, 1.3756, 1.3780, 1.3813/14, 1.3845, 1.3858, 1.3872, 1.3910, 1.3939/46 and 1.3992/1.4015.

Above: 1.4035, 1.4101, 1.4113, 1.4195, 1.4277, 1.4324, 1.4430, 1.4605/24, 1.4689/93, 1.4894, 1.5024, 1.5065, 1.5150, 1.5182, 1.5322, 1.5632, 1.5830, 1.5855, 1.6054 and 1.6196.

Support:

Initial: 1.3080/89, 1.3062/73, 1.3047/54, 1.3037/39, 1.3018/28, 1.2994/1.3014, 1.2964/89, 1.2950/57, 1.2935, 1.2922, 1.2900/14, 1.2884, 1.2875, 1.2860/64, 1.2856, 1.2830/36, 1.2821/22, 1.2797/98, 1.2770/78, 1.2757/62, 1.2742, 1.2716, 1.2693/96, 1.2677, 1.2654/62, 1.2631, 1.2625, 1.2615, 1.2613, 1.2609, 1.2585/92, 1.2563, 1.2537, 1.2497, 1.2471, 1.2456/61, 1.2448/58, 1.2436, 1.2421, 1.2406, 1.2386, 1.2378, 1.2361/66, 1.2351, 1.2333, 1.2287, 1.2244, 1.2126, 1.2091, 1.2045, 1.2030, 1.2016, 1.1976, 1.1933, 1.1886, 1.1872/75, 1.1841, 1.1802, 1.1794/96, 1.1723/29, 1.1670/72, 1.1666, 1.1547/90, 1.1475, 1.1457/65, 1.1443/47, 1.1391/92, 1.1384, 1.1331/39, 1.1310/12, 1.1289/95, 1.1263/77, 1.1254, 1.1221/29, 1.1190/94, 1.1168/73, 1.1158, 1.1152, 1.1141, 1.1116/32, 1.1102/09, 1.1097/99, 1.1081/89, 1.1069/70, 1.1030/53, 1.0982/1.1001, 1.0962/66, 1.0954/59, 1.0941/45, 1.0934, 1.0925/28, 1.0915, 1.0903/09, 1.0894, 1.0873/86, 0852/59, 1.0849, 1.0839/40, 1.0820/27, 1.0813, 1.0793/96, 1.0742/85, 1.0736, 1.0726, 1.0717, 1.0702/09, 1.0693, 1.0668/79, 1.0646/60, 1.0619/29, 1.0608,1.0580/87, 1.0567/71, 1.0558/59, 1.0546, 1.0519/22 and 1.0506.

Below: 1.0496/1.0502, 1.0471/87, 1.0459, 1.0441/44, 1.0414/18, 1.0401/04, 1.0390/92, 1.0379, 1.0355/68, 1.0333, 1.0324, 1.0309/12, 1.0283/1.0305, 1.0270/76, 1.0262, 1.0244/55, 1.0233/35, 1.0199/1.0226, 1.0172/82, 1.0165, 1.0151/56, 1.0148, 1.0128/42, 1.0103/05, 1.0081/99, 1.0050/56, 1.0029/34, 1.0018, 1.0012, 0.9993/98, 0.9984, 0.9969, 0.9945/60, 0.9931, 0.9922, 0.9902/07, 0.9899, 0.9858, 0.9814/26, 0.9724/99, 0.9686, 0.9645, 0.9631, 0.9525, 0.9445 and 0.9405.

NZDUSD: Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 0.7195/0.7241, 0.7251/54, 0.7265, 0.7273/76, 0.7296, 0.7304/05, 0.7310/15, 0.7319/22, 0.7328/49, 0.7357/62, 0.7367/68, 0.7375/78, 0.7394, 0.7402/04, 0.7419/20, 0.7433, 0.7440/47, 0.7455/59, 0.7467, 0.7483/0.7500, 0.7528/55, 0.7585/95, 0.7609, 0.7605/59, 0.7679/97, 0.7705/35, 0.7751/58, 0.7760/64, 0.7763, 0.7779/83, 0.7791/95, 0.7804/08, 0.7819/29, 0.7838/48, 0.7856/57, 0.7863/78, 0.7888, 0.7903/06, 0.7925/37, 0.7967, 0.7989/0.8013, 0.8030, 0.8040, 0.8049/60, 0.8075/82, 0.8100/09, 0.8114/37, 0.8147/53, 0.8160/76, 0.8186, 0.8195/97, 0.8204/14, 0.8221/41, 0.8250/55, 0.8263, 0.8268/71, 0.8280, 0.8285/87, 0.8291/95, 0.8302/16, 0.8322/66, 0.8376, 0.8389, 0.8406, 0.8413, 0.8421/61, 0.8472/79, 0.8487/89 and 0.8499.

Above: 0.8504/18, 0.8523/37, 0.8542/53, 0.8560/61, 0.8571/78, 0.8584/90, 0.8602/05, 0.8633/41, 0.8647/53, 0.8660/67, 0.8671/74, 0.8693/0.8700, 0.8712/18, 0.8734, 0.8744, 0.8764/77, 0.8789, 0.8792, 0.8821, 0.8834 and 0.8840.

Support:

Initial: 0.7162/83, 0.7133/47, 0.7102/16, 0.7085/91, 0.7076/79, 0.7065/69, 0.7034/59, 0.7014, 0.6996, 0.6978/84, 0.6947/70, 0.6923, 0.6890/95, 0.6881/84, 0.6872/76, 0.6857/63, 0.6828/45, 0.6804/21, 0.6790, 0.6784, 0.6771/73, 0.6750/60, 0.6734/38, 0.6720/24, 0.6706/13, 0.6693/96, 0.6666/85, 0.6639/41, 0.6616/20, 0.6584/0.6609, 0.6585, 0.6571/73, 0.6556/63, 0.6538/43, 0.6529, 0.6519 and 0.6504/07.

Below: 0.6491/97, 0.6466, 0.6447/55, 0.6435, 0.6423/27, 0.6415, 0.6400/07, 0.6396, 0.6379/88, 0.6345, 0.6287, 0.6269, 0.6254, 0.6248, 0.6242, 0.6234, 0.6022, 0.5991, 0.5926, 0.5914, 0.5682, 0.5673, 0.5608, 0.5637/41, 0.5480 and 0.5324.

Risk Statement: Trading Foreign Exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial deposit. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you.


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