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Weekly Forex Market Forecasts for January 2nd – January 6th

Key Fundamental Forex Events and Forecasts for the Coming Week

The following table lists the key economic data and other events that are due out during the week of January 2nd – January 6th, with release times displayed for the GMT time zone.

The list also includes the current market consensus forecast for each event and indicates what sort of deviation might affect the forex market valuation of the indicated currency positively.

Read more forex tips and forecasts

Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors This Week

Sunday, January 1st

1:00am CNY Manufacturing PMI (51.6 expected)

1:00am CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI (last 54.7)

All Day NZD Bank Holiday

All Day AUD Bank Holiday

Monday, January 2nd

All Day JPY Bank Holiday

All Day CNY Bank Holiday

All Day CHF Bank Holiday

All Day GBP Bank Holiday

8:15am EUR Spanish Manufacturing PMI (54.6 expected, > good for currency)

All Day CAD Bank Holiday

All Day USD Bank Holiday

All Day NZD Bank Holiday

Tuesday, January 3rd

All Day JPY Bank Holiday

1:45am CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI (50.9 expected)

All Day EUR German Preliminary CPI (last 0.1%, > good for currency)

8:55am EUR German Unemployment Change (-5K expected, < good for currency)

9:30am GBP Manufacturing PMI (53.3 expected, > good for currency)

Tentative NZD GDT Price Index (last -0.5%, > good for currency)

3:00pm USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.7 expected, > good for currency)

Wednesday, January 4th

8:00am EUR Spanish Unemployment Change (-44.2K expected, < good for currency)

9:30am GBP Construction PMI (52.6 expected, > good for currency)

9:30am GBP Net Lending to Individuals (4.9B expected, > good for currency)

10:00am EUR EZ CPI Flash Estimate (1.0% expected, > good for currency)

10:00am EUR Core EZ CPI Flash Estimate (0.8% expected, > good for currency)

7:00pm USD FOMC Meeting Minutes (hawkish = good for currency)

Thursday, January 5th

1:45am CNY Caixin Services PMI (53.3 expected, > good for currency)

9:30am GBP Services PMI (54.8 expected, > good for currency)

12:30pm EUR ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (hawkish = good for currency)

1:00pm GBP MPC Member Haldane speaks (hawkish = good for currency)

1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Payrolls (171K expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm CAD RMPI (-1.5% expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm USD Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (262K expected, < good for currency)

3:00pm USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (56.6 expected, > good for currency)

4:00pm USD Crude Oil Inventories (last 0.6M, > good for currency)

Friday, January 6th

12:30am AUD Trade Balance (-0.55B expected, > good for currency)

7:00am EUR German Factory Orders (-2.5% expected, > good for currency)

7:00am EUR German Retail Sales (-0.8% expected, > good for currency)

All Day EUR Italian Bank Holiday

1:30pm CAD Employment Change (-5.1K expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm CAD Trade Balance (-1.6B expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm CAD Unemployment Rate (6.9% expected, < good for currency)

1:30pm USD Average Hourly Earnings (0.3% expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm USD Non-Farm Payrolls (175K expected, > good for currency)

1:30pm USD Unemployment Rate (4.7% expected, < good for currency)

1:30pm USD Trade Balance (-42.2B expected, > good for currency)

3:00pm USD Factory Orders (-2.1% expected, > good for currency)

5:15pm USD FOMC Member Evans speaks (hawkish = good for currency)                                          

Technical Forecast and Levels to Watch for the Majors This Week

EURUSD: Mildly Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 1.0498/99, 1.0504, 1.0517/24, 1.0551, 1.0565/68, 1.0591/95, 1.0616, 1.0652/57, 1.0669, 1.0684/89, 1.0707/08, 1.0736, 1.0762/95, 1.0804/09, 1.0818/33, 1.0847/58, 1.0866, 1.0872/73, 1.0882/86, 1.0896, 1.0911/17, 1.0951/70, 1.0983/86, 1.0991/98, 1.1001/10, 1.1015/28, 1.1038/60, 1.1066/72, 1.1083, 1.1091/97, 1.1103/04, 1.1111/59, 1.1164/81, 1.1186/1.1204, 1.1211/21, 1.1233/36, 1.1244/83, 1.1294/1.1303, 1.1317/18, 1.1322/48, 1.1354/66, 1.1373/97, 1.1415/64, 1.1483, 1.1494/98, 1.1533, 1.1615, 1.1642, 1.1713, 1.1753, 1.1866/77, 1.1900/01, 1.1938, 1.1975, 1.2041, 1.2133, 1.2143, 1.2162/64, 1.2219, 1.2241/55, 1.2270/72, 1.2323/33, 1.2357/62, 1.2381/94, 1.2407/39, 1.2455, 1.2494/96, 1.2500/01, 1.2514/19, 1.2531, 1.2545, 1.2569/70, 1.2588/89, 1.2605, 1.2613, 1.2623/25, 1.2661/63, 1.2676, 1.2692/98, 1.2715, 1.2744/54, 1.2791/1.2805, 1.2815/21, 1.2834/79, 1.2900/04, 1.2919/21 and 1.2978/98.

Above: 1.3000/03, 1.3047, 1.3059/66, 1.3077, 1.3093/1.3109, 1.3126/30, 1.3152/65, 1.3172/77, 1.3187/1.3206, 1.3220/42, 1.3294/99, 1.3305/08, 1.3318/24, 1.3332/35, 1.3344/53, 1.3366, 1.3376/89, 1.3398/1.3416, 1.3432/44, 1.3451, 1.3473/82, 1.3489/1.3524, 1.3538, 1.3546/88, 1.3597, 1.3602/15, 1.3621/31, 1.3639/50, 1.3663/76, 1.3682/86, 1.3685/1.3710, 1.3714/16, 1.3731/39, 1.3748, 1.3758/74, 1.3784/98, 1.3807, 1.3810/20, 1.3824, 1.3832/36, 1.3845/54, 1.3864, 1.3875/78, 1.3888/92, 1.3905/14, 1.3937, 1.3947, 1.3966/69, 1.3993/1.4000, 1.4246, 1.4500/17, 1.4695 and 1.4939.

Support:                                 

Initial: 1.0461, 1.0371, 1.3065, 1.0351, 1.0206 and 1.0104.

Below: 0.9607/21, 0.9599, 0.9451, 0.9338, 0.8840, 0.8822/28, 0.8594 and 0.8562.

USDJPY: Lower

Resistance:

Initial: 117.43, 117.52, 117.65/80, 117.93/99, 118.04/05, 118.23/45, 118.62/67, 118.85/97, 119.01/06, 119.21/28, 119.37/46, 119.61/65, 119.80 and 119.95.

Above: 120.00/10, 120.17/27, 120.34/47, 120.56, 120.62/65, 120.73/82, 121.02, 121.19/23, 121.27/38, 121.48/49, 121.62/68, 121.80/84, 121.96, 122.01, 122.22/30, 122.44, 122.60/68, 122.87, 123.12, 123.25, 123.42/49, 123.71/78, 123.95, 124.05, 124.11/14, 124.22, 124.35/38, 124.43/46, 125.06, 125.27, 125.40, 125.67/75, 126.17, 126.41, 126.90 and 135.19.

Support:

Initial: 117.23, 116.82/117.02, 116.50/54, 116.28, 116.03/14, 115.92, 115.85, 115.56/58, 114.73/87, 114.55/65, 114.12, 113.98, 113.89, 113.79, 113.38, 113.12, 112.98, 112.86, 112.30, 112.15, 112.01, 111.78/88, 111.60/66, 111.35/44, 110.97/111.03, 110.66, 110.58, 110.39/47, 110.26, 110.08, 109.89/90, 109.72, 109.53/54, 109.41/45, 109.10, 108.98, 108.71, 108.54, 108.42/46, 108.22/24, 108.00, 107.83/89, 107.62/66, 107.48, 107.38/39, 107.18, 107.05, 106.94, 106.72/82, 106.54, 106.31/36, 106.15/25, 105.70, 105.52/59, 105.41/43, 105.30/33, 105.18, 105.05, 104.83/91, 104.63/68, 104.47, 104.31/36, 104.07/26, 103.91/98, 103.82, 103.73/75, 103.54/58, 103.37/43, 103.30, 103.16, 102.92/103.08, 102.49/85, 102.33/40, 102.24/26, 102.13/14, 101.90/102.04, 101.60/83, 101.50/56, 101.41/45, 101.30/32, 101.08/27, 100.82/92, 100.75, 100.60/67, 100.38/48, 100.19/22, 99.93/100.09, 99.64/66, 99.53, 99.40, 99.25, 99.13/14, 98.84/99.00, 98.63/72, 98.48/53, 98.28, 98.20, 98.08, 97.75/83, 97.49/63, 96.90/97.05, 96.81, 96.65/70, 96.55/56 and 96.05.

Below: 95.79/80, 95.44, 94.90/95.07, 94.87, 94.55, 94.19, 94.05, 93.76, 93.78 93.68, 93.50, 93.17, 92.77/95, 92.14/30, 91.19, 90.85, 90.20/32, 89.40/66, 88.05, 87.95/99 and 87.79.

GBPUSD: Mildly Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 1.2301, 1.2317/24, 1.2332, 1.2351, 1.2375, 1.2385/87, 1.2476, 1.2511, 1.2530, 1.2548/56, 1.2673, 1.2727/36, 1.2774, 1.2794, 1.2849, 1.2863/79, 1.2902, 1.2914, 1.2944/45, 1.2955, 1.2991/96, 1.3020, 1.3033, 1.3056/63, 1.3078/79, 1.3093, 1.3104, 1.3119/20, 1.3137, 1.3204, 1.3227, 1.3238, 1.3272/89, 1.3300, 1.3314, 1.3339/46, 1.3352, 1.3371, 1.3415, 1.3444, 1.3477/80, 1.3501, 1.3532, 1.3561, 1.3653, 1.3683, 1.3835/40, 1.3853, 1.3877, 1.4000/11, 1.4041, 1.4052/56, 1.4079, 1.4089, 1.4108, 1.4130, 1.4148, 1.4170/79, 1.4232/34, 1.4247/51, 1.4298, 1.4321/25, 1.4331, 1.4345/51, 1.4361, 1.4374, 1.4385, 1.4396, 1.4406/18, 1.4432/44, 1.4451/72, 1.4513, 1.4529/34, 1.4546, 1.4581, 1.4603, 1.4615, 1.4634/37, 1.4659/69, 1.4692/98, 1.4725/38, 1.4768, 1.4785, 1.4812, 1.4830, 1.4856, 1.4868, 1.4872, 1.4884, 1.4913, 1.4927, 1.4943/50, 1.4966/67, 1.4985/88, 1.5007, 1.5013/17, 1.5026/33, 1.5053/56, 1.5072/77, 1.5081, 1.5092, 1.5101/06, 1.5123, 1.5130/36, 1.5152/64, 1.5173/80, 1.5185/87, 1.5195/99, 1.5208/23, 1.5236/41, 1.5260/68, 1.5276, 1.5293, 1.5304/05, 1.5313/51, 1.5382/84, 1.5392, 1.5403/40, 1.5457/58, 1.5467, 1.5476/85, 1.5496/99, 1.5505/08, 1.5514/20, 1.5529/33, 1.5538/51, 1.5561/68, 1.5584/96, 1.5601/19, 1.5624/27, 1.5646, 1.5656/58, 1.5669/74, 1.5683/92, 1.5714/17, 1.5725, 1.5750, 1.5763, 1.5775/89, 1.5803/07, 1.5817, 1.5825, 1.5844, 1.5853, 1.5874/77, 1.5886/93, 1.5900/27, 1.5948/61, 1.5975/94, 1.6001/08, 1.6051/66, 1.6071/83, 1.6096/98, 1.6109/21, 1.6130/36, 1.6155, 1.6161, 1.6177/83, 1.6195/98, 1.6204/16, 1.6222/26, 1.6237/46, 1.6251/62, 1.6280/90, 1.6298/1.6309, 1.6336, 1.6348, 1.6357, 1.6376, 1.6380/83, 1.6394, 1.6400, 1.6415/18, 1.6441/44, 1.6458/65, 1.6484, and 1.6496.

Above: 1.6516, 1.6524, 1.6534, 1.6548, 1.6576/86, 1.6592, 1.6611/17, 1.6624, 1.6640/56, 1.6665/67, 1.6683, 1.6692/98, 1.6716/24, 1.6730/37, 1.6745, 1.6755, 1.6765/68, 1.6777, 1.6785, 1.6800/02, 1.6812, 1.6819/22, 1.6831/44, 1.6874/87, 1.6902/09, 1.6919/20, 1.6951, 1.6960, 1.6995, 1.7000, 1.7010, 1.7035, 1.7042/51, 1.7058/62, 1.7084, 1.7094/99, 1.7107, 1.7130, 1.7167, 1.7176/78, 1.7190 and 1.7440.

Support:

Initial: 1.2271, 1.2260, 1.2226/28, 1.2200, 1.2170, 1.2131/35, 1.2113, 1.2081/88, 1.1991, 1.1954 and 1.1844.

Below: 1.0520.

AUDUSD: Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 0.7197, 0.7203/07, 0.7214/15, 0.7219/26, 0.7234, 0.7241/58, 0.7265/71, 0.7278/84, 0.7295/0.7303, 0.7310/26, 0.7337/43, 0.7362/79, 0.7393, 0.7405/07, 0.7413/20, 0.7440/46, 0.7452, 0.7468/76, 0.7486/92, 0.7497/0.7509, 0.7520/25, 0.7532, 0.7544/59, 0.7565/72, 0.7580/98, 0.7607/09, 0.7614/18, 0.7625/36, 0.7642/48, 0.7653/57, 0.7663/81, 0.7688/96, 0.7700/10, 0.7718/25, 0.7731/40, 0.7748/64, 0.7772/84, 0.7791/92, 0.7817, 0.7825, 0.7834/88, 0.7912, 0.7919, 0.7950, 0.7988, 0.8008, 0.8020, 0.8024/34, 0.8051, 0.8066/87, 0.8106, 0.8121, 0.8138, 0.8156, 0.8172, 0.8203/14, 0.8223, 0.8233, 0.8294, 0.8307, 0.8375, 0.8416, 0.8473/84, 0.8512, 0.8541, 0.8578, 0.8590, 0.8641, 0.8651/62, 0.8693, 0.8702, 0.8729, 0.8747/54, 0.8760/73, 0.8784, 0.8812, 0.8819/25, 0.8842/52, 0.8857/61, 0.8869, 0.8887/97, 0.8906/12, 0.8918/20, 0.8923/36, 0.8951/57, 0.8967/69, 0.8981/87, 0.8994/0.9010, 0.9035, 0.9041, 0.9042/48, 0.9054/57, 0.9061/66, 0.9072/79, 0.9102, 0.9110/19, 0.9127/37, 0.9147, 0.9162/67, 0.9179/89, 0.9200/08, 0.9214/26, 0.9232/74, 0.9286/94, 0.9304, 0.9311, 0.9328/34, 0.9343/53, 0.9359, 0.9386/0.9410, 0.9420/24, 0.9428/33, 0.9440/47, 0.9455/57, 0.9469 and 0.9483/86.

Above: 0.9500, 0.9524/27, 0.9536/42, 0.9571, 0.9585, 0.9592, 0.9620, 0.9640, 0.9664, 0.9676, 0.9689/96, 0.9710, 0.9732, 0.9757, 0.9791/94, 0.9841/96, 0.9900, 0.9925/83, 1.0000/18, 1.0052, 1.0099/1.0100, 1.0114/17, 1.0148/51, 1.0165/77 and 1.0181/82.

Support:

Initial: 0.7181/85, 0.7172/75, 0.7152/62, 0.7140/48, 0.7108, 0.7098, 0.7083, 0.7062/69, 0.7047, 0.7030/34, 0.7021/24, 0.7001/02, 0.6945, 0.6936/37, 0.6918, 0.6907, 0.6852, 0.6826, 0.6773, 0.6753, 0.6697, 0.6670 and 0.6555.

Below: 0.6339/41, 0.6317, 0.5804, 0.5795, 0.5730, 0.5645, 0.5490, 0.5399, 0.5228, 0.4815 and 0.4773.

USDCAD: Lower

Resistance:

Initial: 1.3432/34, 1.3456/72, 1.3504, 1.3524, 1.3534/36, 1.3556/63, 1.3586/88, 1.3597/1.3606, 1.3638, 1.3652/61, 1.3672, 1.3687, 1.3756, 1.3780, 1.3813/14, 1.3845, 1.3858, 1.3872, 1.3910, 1.3939/46 and 1.3992/1.4015.

Above: 1.4035, 1.4101, 1.4113, 1.4195, 1.4277, 1.4324, 1.4430, 1.4605/24, 1.4689/93, 1.4894, 1.5024, 1.5065, 1.5150, 1.5182, 1.5322, 1.5632, 1.5830, 1.5855, 1.6054 and 1.6196.

Support:

Initial: 1.3415/16, 1.3404, 1.3385/99, 1.3367/77, 1.3352/57, 1.3323/25, 1.3305/16, 1.3295, 1.3270/83, 1.3260/64, 1.3241/53, 1.3233/35, 1.3212/17, 1.3194/99, 1.3180/90, 1.3174, 1.3161/66, 1.3143/47, 1.3129/39, 1.3115/19, 1.3101, 1.3097/99, 1.3080/89, 1.3062/69, 1.3047/54, 1.3037/39, 1.3021/28, 1.2994/1.3014, 1.2981/89, 1.2964/75, 1.2950/57, 1.2935, 1.2922, 1.2900/14, 1.2884, 1.2875, 1.2860/64, 1.2856, 1.2830/36, 1.2821/22, 1.2797/98, 1.2770/78, 1.2757/62, 1.2742, 1.2716, 1.2693/96, 1.2677, 1.2654/62, 1.2631, 1.2625, 1.2615, 1.2613, 1.2609, 1.2585/92, 1.2563, 1.2537, 1.2497, 1.2471, 1.2456/61, 1.2448/58, 1.2436, 1.2421, 1.2406, 1.2386, 1.2378, 1.2361/66, 1.2351, 1.2333, 1.2287, 1.2244, 1.2126, 1.2091, 1.2045, 1.2030, 1.2016, 1.1976, 1.1933, 1.1886, 1.1872/75, 1.1841, 1.1802, 1.1794/96, 1.1723/29, 1.1670/72, 1.1666, 1.1547/90, 1.1475, 1.1457/65, 1.1443/47, 1.1391/92, 1.1384, 1.1331/39, 1.1310/12, 1.1289/95, 1.1263/77, 1.1254, 1.1221/29, 1.1190/94, 1.1168/73, 1.1158, 1.1152, 1.1141, 1.1116/32, 1.1102/09, 1.1097/99, 1.1081/89, 1.1069/70, 1.1030/53, 1.0982/1.1001, 1.0962/66, 1.0954/59, 1.0941/45, 1.0934, 1.0925/28, 1.0915, 1.0903/09, 1.0894, 1.0873/86, 0852/59, 1.0849, 1.0839/40, 1.0820/27, 1.0813, 1.0793/96, 1.0742/85, 1.0736, 1.0726, 1.0717, 1.0702/09, 1.0693, 1.0668/79, 1.0646/60, 1.0619/29, 1.0608,1.0580/87, 1.0567/71, 1.0558/59, 1.0546, 1.0519/22 and 1.0506.

Below: 1.0496/1.0502, 1.0471/87, 1.0459, 1.0441/44, 1.0414/18, 1.0401/04, 1.0390/92, 1.0379, 1.0355/68, 1.0333, 1.0324, 1.0309/12, 1.0283/1.0305, 1.0270/76, 1.0262, 1.0244/55, 1.0233/35, 1.0199/1.0226, 1.0172/82, 1.0165, 1.0151/56, 1.0148, 1.0128/42, 1.0103/05, 1.0081/99, 1.0050/56, 1.0029/34, 1.0018, 1.0012, 0.9993/98, 0.9984, 0.9969, 0.9945/60, 0.9931, 0.9922, 0.9902/07, 0.9899, 0.9858, 0.9814/26, 0.9724/99, 0.9686, 0.9645, 0.9631, 0.9525, 0.9445 and 0.9405.

NZDUSD: Higher

Resistance:

Initial: 0.6947/70, 0.6978/84, 0.6996, 0.7014, 0.7034/59, 0.7065/69, 0.7076/79, 0.7085/91, 0.7102/14, 0.7138/47, 0.7162/69, 0.7174/83, 0.7195/0.7222, 0.7227/38, 0.7251/54, 0.7265, 0.7273/76, 0.7296, 0.7304/05, 0.7310/15, 0.7319/22, 0.7328/42, 0.7357/62, 0.7367/68, 0.7378, 0.7394, 0.7402/04, 0.7419/20, 0.7433, 0.7440/47, 0.7455/59, 0.7467, 0.7483/0.7500, 0.7528/55, 0.7585/95, 0.7609, 0.7605/59, 0.7679/97, 0.7705/35, 0.7751/58, 0.7760/64, 0.7763, 0.7779/83, 0.7791/95, 0.7804/08, 0.7819/29, 0.7838/48, 0.7856/57, 0.7863/78, 0.7888, 0.7903/06, 0.7925/37, 0.7967, 0.7989/0.8013, 0.8030, 0.8040, 0.8049/60, 0.8075/82, 0.8100/09, 0.8114/37, 0.8147/53, 0.8160/76, 0.8186, 0.8195/97, 0.8204/14, 0.8221/41, 0.8250/55, 0.8263, 0.8268/71, 0.8280, 0.8285/87, 0.8291/95, 0.8302/16, 0.8322/66, 0.8376, 0.8389, 0.8406, 0.8413, 0.8421/61, 0.8472/79, 0.8487/89 and 0.8499.

Above: 0.8504/18, 0.8523/37, 0.8542/53, 0.8560/61, 0.8571/78, 0.8584/90, 0.8602/05, 0.8633/41, 0.8647/53, 0.8660/67, 0.8671/74, 0.8693/0.8700, 0.8712/18, 0.8734, 0.8744, 0.8764/77, 0.8789, 0.8792, 0.8821, 0.8834 and 0.8840.

Support:

Initial: 0.6923, 0.6890/95, 0.6881/82, 0.6872/76, 0.6857/63, 0.6828/45, 0.6804/21, 0.6790, 0.6784, 0.6771/73, 0.6750/60, 0.6734/38, 0.6720/24, 0.6706/13, 0.6693/96, 0.6666/85, 0.6639/41, 0.6616/20, 0.6584/0.6609, 0.6585, 0.6571/73, 0.6556/63, 0.6538/43, 0.6529, 0.6519 and 0.6504/07.

Below: 0.6491/97, 0.6466, 0.6447/55, 0.6435, 0.6423/27, 0.6415, 0.6400/07, 0.6396, 0.6379/88, 0.6345, 0.6287, 0.6269, 0.6254, 0.6248, 0.6242, 0.6234, 0.6022, 0.5991, 0.5926, 0.5914, 0.5682, 0.5673, 0.5608, 0.5637/41, 0.5480 and 0.5324.

Risk Statement: Trading Foreign Exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The possibility exists that you could lose more than your initial deposit. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you.


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