- The GB Pound surged after the Thursday 14 September Bank of England meeting, with perception of a more hawkish tone pushing GBPUSD to its highest level post-Brexit.
- With GBPUSD already in a bull trend, this more recent activity points for a move potentially towards 1.40 into September/October.
- Furthermore, the strength in the GB Pound has weighed on the FTSE 100 future, with a significant sell-off shifting the intermediate term outlook to bearish.
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GBPUSD – Bullish trend further energised
Another extremely aggressive push higher on Friday through key targets at 1.3445, 1.3481, 1.3500 and 1.3534, placing the market as highs level post-Brexit, leaving risk of further gains into Monday.
The September surge through 1.3269 signalled an intermediate-term bullish tone.
l We see an upside bias through 1.3617; break here aims for 1.3675 and 1.3727, then the retracement target at 1.3841.
l But below 1.3521 opens risk down to 1.3434, maybe 1.3380.
Intermediate-term Outlook – Upside Risks:
l We see a positive tone with the bullish threat to targets 1.3841 and1 .4000.
What Changes This? Below 1.3147 signals a neutral tone, only shifting negative below 1.2903.
Daily GBPUSD Chart
FTSE 100 – Bearish trend reinforced
An aggressive plunge lower Friday as seen from the middle of last week, through the July swing low on the continuation chart at 7192.5, setting a bear theme for September.
Furthermore, the Thursday-Friday aggressive sell-off in the wake of the Bank of England meeting in reaction to the strength in the GB Pound, keeps risk lower for Monday.
l We see a downside bias through 7153; break here aims for 7131.5, 7100 and maybe as deep as 7073.5.
l But above 7215.5 opens risk up to 7251.5.
Intermediate-term Outlook – Downside Risks:
l We see a negative tone with the bearish threat to 6931.
l Below here targets 6848.5 and maybe 6638.5.
What Changes This? Above 7396.5 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 7486.5.
Daily FTSE 100 future Chart