The Week Ahead – 7th August 2023

Justin Freeman

Author: Justin Freeman

Published:

Quiet News Week After Period of Intense Activity

FOCUS ON: Quiet News Week After Period of Intense Activity

  • Earnings season draws to a close.
  • CPI and GDP reports due in what is set to be a relatively quiet news week. 
  • Technical analysis indicators and price levels set to play more influential role.

After a fortnight of intense news flow, things quieten down this week. There is still a range of reports due to be released, but in relative terms at least, a period of ‘summer trading’ could finally be about to start.

Forex

GBPUSD

The Bank of England posted another interest rate rise last week, and analysts will now turn their attention to the GDP number due out on Friday.

Daily Price Chart – GBPUSD Chart – Daily Price Chart – Fib Level Resistance/Support

gbpusd daily chart fib level resistance and support august 7 2023

Source: IG

GBPUSD Chart – Hourly Price Chart

gbpusd hourly chart august 7 2023

Source: IG

Economic data report likely to influence the value of GBP currency pairs:

  • Wednesday 9th August – ​2:30 am BST – China COPI (July). Analysts expect prices to fall 0.3% year-over-year.
  • Thursday 10th August – ​1:30 pm BST – US CPI (July). Prices forecast to rise 2.8% year-on-year from 3%, and 0.1% from 0.2% month-on-month.
  • Friday 4th August – ​7:00 am BST – UK GDP (Q2, preliminary). Growth expected to be -0.8% year-on-year and 0.1% quarter-on-quarter.

EURUSD

In a week with little euro-specific news, analysts will continue digesting the EU GDP figure and German unemployment numbers released last week. The dollar leg of the EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fluctuate in price when key US inflation data is released at the end of the week.

EURUSD Chart – Daily Price Chart

eurusd daily chart august 7 2023

Source: IG

EURUSD Chart – Hourly Price Chart

eurusd hourly chart august 7 2023

Source: IG

Economic data report likely to influence the value of EUR currency pairs:

  • Wednesday 9th August – ​2:30 am BST – China COPI (July). Analysts expect prices to fall 0.3% year-over-year.
  • Thursday 10th August – ​1:30 pm BST – US CPI (July). Prices forecast to rise 2.8% year-on-year from 3%, and 0.1% from 0.2% month-on-month.

Indices

S&P 500

US earnings season is drawing to a close, but the Disney numbers due on Wednesday can be expected to provide some excitement for stock analysts.

S&P 500 Chart – Daily Price Chart

sp500 daily chart august 7 2023

Source: IG

S&P 500 – Hourly Price Chart

sp500 hourly chart august 7 2023

Source: IG

Economic data report likely to influence the value of US stocks:

  • Wednesday 9th August – ​2:30 am BST – China COPI (July). Analysts expect prices to fall 0.3% year-over-year.
  • Thursday 10th August – ​1:30 pm BST – US CPI (July). Prices forecast to rise 2.8% year-on-year from 3%, and 0.1% from 0.2% month-on-month.
  • Friday 4th August – ​7:00 am BST – UK GDP (Q2, preliminary). Growth expected to be -0.8% year-on-year and 0.1% quarter-on-quarter.

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Justin Freeman

About the author: Justin Freeman

Justin is an active trader with more than 20-years’ industry experience of working for big banks and hedge funds. He has an inside knowledge of how the financial markets work, thanks to roles including trader on a $750m Event-Arbitrage desk and CRO and COO of hedge funds running a variety of strategies. From stat-arb and trend-following CTA to fixed-income relative value. Firm’s he has worked at include big banks like Citi, and prominent hedge funds including D. E. Shaw and Millennium Capital Management.

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